UFC 148: American Gangster vs. The King of Brazil

It is finally time for the one title match everyone has been anticipating. Fans have put up with suspensions, injuries and matches that resemble a track meet more than a fight just so we can see these Chael Sonnen and Anderson Silva face off one more time. UFC 148 could have been one of the great cards of the year. But injuries have taken a toll, including taking away the anticipated rematch between Urijah Faber and Dominick Cruz.
On the bright side, my amazing fight prediction was a perfect 4 for 4 on the night, time for that streak to continue.

Now, on to the picks..

Previews and Predictions

Last Card: 4-1
Year: 43-25

Mike“the Hulk” Easton vs. Ivan Menjivar

The first of six main card fights pits two rising bantamweights against each other. Easton is 2-0 in the UFC and looks to be a guy we could be talking about as a title contender sooner rather than later. After all, he is a teammate of the champion, Dominick Cruz. In his last fight he got more than he bargained for with injury replacement Jared Papazian. He is a black belt in jiu-jitsu as well as judo and if you watched his two Octagon fights you would see his striking is not too shabby either.

Menjivar was a name that some thought would take Cruz's spot and fight for the interim title against Faber. The brass chose Renan Barao but Menjivar still gets to fight on a pay per view main card. Since coming over from the WEC he is 3-0 including finishes over Charlie Valencia and John Albert. Menjivar has the clear experience advantage and has been in the cage against some of the best guys in the sport (St-Pierre, Lauzon, Serra).

I think this could be the fight of the night. The deciding factor for me is Easton's speed, as long as he doesn't get too impatient he should be able to control the Octagon.
Easton Decision (29-28)

Chad“Money” Mendes vs. Cody McKenzie

The last time we saw Mendes he was on his back unconscious as Jose Aldo continued his featherweight dominance. It was the first loss of my #2 145 pounder's career. Everyone knows two things about Mendes, 1. he should come out to this song and do the dance and everything and 2. he is going to wrestle you to death. He was one of the best while wrestling at Cal-Poly and he has been able to take anyone he meets in the Octagon down until Jose Aldo (with a little help from the fence). Since he has not been in the cage since January I expect to see improvement in his striking game.

McKenzie got back on the winning track in his last fight against Marcus LeVesseur. It was his 12^th submission win, with 11 of them coming by his famous McKenzietine. Part of me wonders how so many fighters allow them to fall victim to the same move. Trying to grapple with McKenzie is like laying on your back in the middle of wrestling ring, eventually you're going to feel the impact of the devastating leg drop or in this case McKenzie's grip choking you out.

Mendes is more athletic and has better top position than anyone McKenzie has faced to date. While most people would have a striking edge against “Money” there is nothing spectacular about McKenzie besides his guillotine and old facial hair. Add in the fact that this is McKenzie's first trip down to featherweight, Mendes is a clear favorite in this match.

Mendes Submission (Rear Naked Choke) Round 2

DongHyun "Stun Gun" Kim vs. Demian Maia

This is a bout that is thrown on the main card. The two welterweights aren't huge fan favorites and neither one has finished an opponent since 2009. That doesn't mean they are not talented fighters, however. Kim only has one loss in his career and that is to the UFC interim champ and my #2 guy Carlos Condit. He controls his fights with his judo and wrestling. It will be interesting to see how he uses these tools because he most likely doe not want to go to the ground with Maia.

Maia is making his welterweight debut after a decision loss to Chris Weidman. Maia is very dangerous on the ground, that finsih talked about above in 2009 was a submission win over #1 contender Chael Sonnen. Since that win Maia has not been able to get on an extended winning streak due to his one dimensional fight game.

Maia's striking is not the biggest concern for me, it is his gas tank. He looked awful against Weidman and could barely mount any offense in the fight. I expect the weight cut to take a toll on him and his already questionable cardio.

Kim TKO Round 3

Patrick“the Predator” Cote vs. Cung Le

When Rich Franklin pulled out of his bout against Cung Le to face Wanderlei Silva at UFC 147 it provided an opportunity for Patrick Cote to get back to the UFC for a third time. After a three fight losing streak in the Octagon Cote was cut in 2010. Since then he was won 4 straight fights, including two former UFC fighters. In his second stint in the organization Cote was one of the division's best, racking up 5 wins before losing to Anderson Silva in a championship fight. No one can question Cote's chin and if it wasn't for all his injuries who knew where he would be in his career.

Cung Le is a difficult fighter to break down. He is a very talented striker who came to MMA after an undefeated kickboxing career. The problem is that he does not see himself as a fighter. I am not going to hate on the guy for wanting to have a successful acting career, I just feel that it is very hard to be successful in the sport without focusing on it full-time. In his recent loss to Wanderlei Silva he looked good in the first round and almost finished the Axe Murderer.

If this goes in to the later rounds I think it favors Cote. Le's best chance in his fights are to finish them early but Cote has never truly been TKO outside the injury loss to Silva.
Cote TKO Round 3

Forrest Griffin vs. “The Huntington Beach Bad Boy” Tito Ortiz

The co-main event features a trilogy fight between two of the most important men in the history of the organization. Well no one may have been clamoring for this fight. It makes sense for where both guys are in their careers. Forrest is coming off a first round loss to Shogun Rua but had beaten two big names before that (Ortiz and Franklin). Griffin has not looked the same since losing the belt to Rashad Evans. He does not do anything outstanding but is the more well-rounded fighter of the two.

When looking at Tito Ortiz it is impossible for me to be rational. He as the guy who captured my interest in the sport. All his antics, the flames on the trunks, walking out with the two-sided flag, the clevert-shirts, he was the most bad-ass guy on my television. Ortiz said what he wanted and did not care who he offended. The sport may have evolved and left him in the dust but there is no doubt he deserves to be in the hall of fame. His ground and pound is legendary and I expect to see the best Ortiz, we have seen in awhile.

Ortiz Unanimous Decision (30-27)

ChaelSonnen vs. Anderson “The Spider” Silva

The main event is the most anticipated fight of the year. Everyone remembers the first battle, where Sonnen dominated for 4.5 rounds before getting caught in a triangle. This has led to one of the best rivalries in the history of the sport.

When looking at the first fight there are so many variables to consider. How injured was Silva going into the fight? Did Sonnen's increased testosterone play a role in the controlling the Brazilian? Has Sonnen learned to stop a triangle?

All of these are very important questions and have to be considered for fight number two. I think Sonnen is a guy who does not necessarily deserve to be in this fight. His mouth has gotten him to the top of the division and he has not had many great performances, including a fight against Michael Bisping that judges could have gone either way on.

Sonnen fought his best possible fight in the first bout and could not finish the champion. There is no way he puts together a better performance than that. Silva, on the other hand, is now pissed off and you never want to piss off a spider.

People think this will make Silva over aggressive and ultimately get caught. The champion in his entire career has never looked over aggressive, even after getting beat up for 4.5 rounds he was still able to calmly lock on the triangle without issue. And I do not think Sonnen has the ability to “catch” Silva, he does not have the power or the willingness to stay on the feet for that to occur.

Silva Submission (Rear Naked Choke) Round 3

Dana White's reaction when they told them
how much money this fight is going to make.
Credit: MMAfighting.com

If you liked this article please leave a comment below and vote on the poll to the right.  Also, I started a weekly podcast called Split Decision on http://www.sportsgeeksusa.com/ with my friend Ryan Penney (his picks below). Feel free to leave your predictions on our facebook page. The show airs  daily Monday-Friday. 

Please follow myself and the show on Twitter.  We recap all the fights and news in the MMA world while also interviewing fighters, promoters and trainers

IT IS FINNNAAALLLLLLYYY TIME!!!!

Lets be honest, one fight has most people excited: Silva/Sonnen II….. But this card is stacked. Not a single bad fight on paper(a few lopsided bouts, but not “bad”). With the constant trash talk from Chael, and the aggressive words from Silva, this card is starting to live up to the hype before either 185 pounder steps in to the octagon.

The rumors of Silva almost backing out are becoming louder, not to mention the words of anger from the Spiders mouth, make me believe he might be a little nervous about that shiny belt.

Now on to the predictions:

Mike Easton vs. Ivan Menjivar

Mike “the Hulk” Easton hasn’t lost since 2007, his one and only professional loss. Easton was a late replacement for Renan Barão. Ivan Menjivar is coming off a big win over TUF alum and friend of the show, Jon Albert. While Menjivar was originally expected to take on Barão, he doesn’t get much of a break with Easton . Menjivar knows his way around the octagon, and his veteran skill will make this fight interesting for about a round before Easton pulls away. I will take Easton round 2 TKO.

Chad “Money” Mendes vs. Cody McKenzie

Chad “Money” Mendes is coming off his first career loss, one that came at the hands of Jose Aldo…. Not a horrible fighter by any means (at least the shiny belt thinks so). Cody McKenzie bounced back after his two fight losing streak with a big win over Marcus LeVesseur. While McKenzie is coming off a win, and Mendes is coming off a loss, I think this fight is still pretty far in favor of the $$$$. Mendes needs to be aware of one thing and one thing only: Guillotine choke. McKenzie’s 11/13 wins are thanks to guillotine joke, so basically versatility isn’t a good word to describe McKenzie. I think Mendes beats on McKenzie for 3 rounds, and holds off an submission attempt. Mendes Unanimous Decision.

Dong Hyun Kim vs. Demian Maia

Dong Hyun Kim, or as I shall call him- Stun Gun (great nickname) has 1 loss in his UFC career (the other one was changed to NC.. long story) thanks to Carlos Condit. Not a bad loss, and one of his biggest wins came against Nate Diaz… again, an impressive UFC career to this point. Kims biggest test to date will be Demian Maia. Maia has had an impressive career, but is gatekeeper role at best now (after that “fight” against Silva) and if Kim wants to make a move in the middleweight division, he needs a win here. Maia is on the downside, and I think Kim puts him away impressively in round 1 via KO ( knees).

Patrick Cote vs. Cung Le

This card only gets better and better. I would have preferred Franklin/LE, but Cote has 4 wins in a row outside the Octagon, and is trying to get back in to the UFC with this fight. I feel bad for the Canadian, but I don’t give him a shot in hell. Le wins this with some highlight kick that makes me spill my beer on my fiancé…. Rest of the fights of the night will have to be watched through a scary glare coming my way.

Forrest Griffin vs. Tito “The Huntington Beach Bad Boy” Ortiz

The final fight for Tito Ortiz is against another future HOFer, Forrest Griffin. Ortiz kept his career alive with a great upset over Ryan Bader, but quickly fell back in to the funk he was in with losses to Rashad Evans and little Nog. Griffin is on the tail end of his career as well, but might have one last run in him. But it will have to start with a win over Tito. The series is 1-1 between these two. I think Griffin gets the rubber match via Unanimous decision and FOTN.

Anderson “The Spider” Silva vs. Chael Sonnen

I will say it right now.. Silva is scared of Sonnen. He has been ducking Sonnen and he knows Sonnen will win this. Say what you will about Chael, he wants this title more than anything… ANYTHING. I don’t care what people say, Chael beat the Spider for 5 rounds and made one mistake and lost.

Sonnen will win this fight if it goes to the ground. Anderson will win this fight if it stays standing.

Here is what happens: Anderson comes out pissed. He will go after Sonnen and beat his ass for round 1. Round 2 Sonnen will bring this thing to the ground and frustrate Silva. Rounds 3-5 will be a back and forth test of wills. Blood will be shed. And in round 5, Sonnen will get ground position and KNOCK OUT ANDERSON SILVA.

His trash talk will be proven. They will share FOTN honors with Griffin/Ortiz and Silva will win KO of night.

Call me crazy but I buy in to the Chael Hype!

Enjoy the fights. We will talk about all this and more on Monday! 

UFC 147: No Running Cave Man Here

The UFC had its first card of the weekend last night and it was successful until the main event. Cub Swanson had an awesome knockout that was followed by a great back and forth brawl between Brian Ebersole and TJ Waldburger.  The Stout-Fisher trilogy fight featured a steady dose of takedowns by Stout but was far from boring.

Then Pantera hit and crowd favorite Clay Guida came out bopping around like usual. Everyone expected the fight of the weekend between him and Gray Maynard.  What they got was a track meet with Guida refusing to engage most of the contest.  The judges ultimately rewarded Maynard with a split decision while the Jersey stopped fist pumping long enough to boo the Carpenter mercilessly.


On the bright side, my amazing fight prediction was a perfect 4 for 4 on the night, time for that streak to continue.


Now, on to the picks....

Previews and Predictions

Yesterday 4-0

Year: 39-24

Yuri "Marajó" Alcantara vs. Hacran Dias

When people think of the featherweight division Alcantara is a name that should be on the top of many people's minds but for some reason is not. He is riding a 13 fight win streak (2-0 UFC) and has not lost since 2009.  That streak includes a knockout over RIcardo Lamas who beat the #2 gut in the vision last night. 


Admittedly Dias is much more an unknown to me.  What I do know is a record of 20-1-1 is impressive no matter who you are facing and the fact he trains with the champion of the division, Jose Aldo, certainly cannot hurt.  HIs jiu-jitsu is a strength with 9 of his wins coming by submission and certainly give Alcantara trouble if the fight goes to the ground.


Alcantar Decision (29-28)
Fabricio "Vai Cavalo" Werdum vs. Mike Russow
The first and only heavyweight bout of the weekend takes place between the Brazil and the Chicago Police Officer.  I am torn here as my dad is also a police officer in the great city of Chicago but I also have been touting Werdum for awhile now.


Werdum may have the best jiu-jitsu in the division, just look at all his world championships.  His striking is no joke either, just look at his last fight with Roy Nelson where he put on a thai clinch clinic.Hi sonly losses in recent memory are to Junior dos Santos and Alistair Overeem, the top heavyweights in the world.


Russow walks into enemy territory as one of only two Americans on the card.  He is undefeated in the UFC at 4-0 but still has plenty of doubters, myself included.  The most memorable moment of his UFC career was in his second fight against Todd Duffee that can only be compared to the legendary battle between Homer SImpson and Boxcar Bob.  Who knows how Russow wins fights, because I sure dont?  Russow cannot be knocked out, it is just a fact.  Werdum is easily his toughest opponent yet and will pose many problems.


Werdum Decision (30-26)
Godofredo Pepey vs. Rony Mariano Bezerra


This is the fight that could steal the show on the entire card.  Anytime you put two dynamic featherweights together you are most liking going to get people talking.  Pepey is a perfect 8-0, finishing all of his opponents. Despite the impressive record he was the 12th overall pick in the house.  A decision win followed by a submission victory has landed the Brazilian in the final.


Rony is a guy that had many people talking before the show even started.  In only his third professional fight he faced off and lost by split decision to Renan Barao, a man fighting for the interim bantamweight title against Urijah Faber.  There was a reason Rony was the #1 overall pick.  Rony is a brutal, almost ripping off his close friend's arm in the quarterfinals just so he could advance.


Rony Submission 1st Round 
Cezar Ferreira vs. Sergio Moraes
In the other TUF Brazil Finale pits Ferreria, the #2 overall pick, against Moraes, a late injury replacement. At only 4-2 Ferreria has outperformed his record.  He kicked off his tournament run with two guillotine submission wins and put an exclamation mark with a devastating head kick knock out.


Moraes submitted a jiu-jitsu world champion to get into the house so he obviously has skills.  A rear naked choke sent him into the semi finals where he was knocked out in the first round by Daniel Sarafian, the man he ended up replacing.  He will need to make the most of his second chance but I worry about how much the knockout will last with him.


Ferreira KO 1st Round
Wanderlei "the Axe Murderer" Silva vs. Rich "Ace" Franklin
This main event has gone through more changes than Cher has had plastic surgeries. What was originally supposed to be the most anticipated rematch of all-time has become a rematch in a fight that every one could live without. There is no denying the fact that Wanderlei is a legend.  New UFC fans do not realize what this guy did while he competed in Pride in Japan.  He has lost three of five and even though he has earned the right to go out on his own terms I can easily see this fight, win or lose, being his retirement fight.


Rich Franklin is the quintessential company man.  When the brand was growing he was the perfect poster boy, a former school teacher turned champion. Ever since dropping his title to Anderson Silva and then losing the rematch Franklin hasn't been concerned with what benefits him.  He constantly takes catchweight fights in foreign countries and always performs.  HIs last fight, a decision loss to Forrest Griffin last February, was disappointing but I expect a bounce-back performance for Ace.


Franklin TKO Round 3

Still not sure how I feel about Franklin's hair
Credit: MMAFighting.com

If you liked this article please leave a comment below and vote on the poll to the right.  Also, I started a weekly podcast called Split Decision on http://www.sportsgeeksusa.com/ with my friend Ryan Penney. Feel free to leave your predictions on our facebook page. The show airs 3 PM daily Monday-Friday. 

Please follow myself and the show on Twitter.  We recap all the fights and news in the MMA world while also interviewing fighters, promoters and trainers

UFC on FX 3: Stache Vs Mouse Take II

After two great performances my predictions took a slight hit last week due to two upsets in the TUF final and main event. A weaker man would have made excuses and avoided another piece.  Did you think I’d crumble; did you think I’d lay down and die? Oh no, not I, I will survive!

The UFC is lucky to still have its main event.  Especially after the past couple weeks in the sport has seen so many injuries, Belfort, Bisping, Stann and Cruz just to name a few. We all know the controversy that was McCall-Johnson I and hopefully this fight won’t disappoint and the company can crown its first ever flyweight champion some time this summer.

Now on to the picks…

Previews and Predictions

Last Week: 2-3

Year: 34-21

Eddie Wineland vs. Scott "Young Guns" Jorgensen

When the WEC was absorbed by the UFC Wineland, a former bantamweight champion, was a name people that tapped as a potential champion. On the last WEC card he had a devastating KO by a slam against Ken Stone that made a rocking Phoenix crown go silent. Since coming over though he has lost his two bouts against Urijah Faber and Joseph Benavidez. Wineland can finish the fight any second standing but will need to avoid Jorgensen’s takedowns in order to have a chance in this one.

Jorgensen is the definition of a gate keeper at this point in his career.  He has no problem against Jeff Curran or Ken Stone but when he faces the elite fighters in the division, Renan Barao/Dominick Cruz, he struggles. “Young Guns” is very difficult to finish though, only being stopped once in 18 career fights.  The key for him is to avoid getting into a brawl with Wineland.  Jorgensen needs to utilize wrestling and ground the dangerous Wineland and grind to a victory.

Jorgensen Unanimous Decision (30-27)

Mike "Quicksand" Pyle vs. Josh "The Dentist" Neer

This is a great fight between two veterans; they combine for 75 professional fights. Pyle had a three fight win streak before running into the pain train that is Rory MacDonald.  He bounced back nicely though when he marched into Brazil on enemy soil and TKOd Ricardo Faunch. “Quciksand” makes his money on the ground though, earning 16 of his 22 wins by submission.

“The Dentist” is on a six fight winning streak, the second longest of his career, where has finished all of his opponents. He has fought all over the world against some of the top names in the sport and Neer seems like a different fighter in his third stint with the UFC.  Neer can win this fight wherever it goes but I imagine he will want to keep it standing and earn his 18th knockout.

Neer TKO Round 3

Erick "Indio" Silva vs. Charlie "The Spaniard" Brenneman

When Silva was last seen in the Octagon he was watching Joe Rogan verbally lash Mario Yamasaki for his decision to disqualify Silva for blows to the back of the head against Carlo Prater. Whether you agreed with decision or not, I did not, it is impossible to argue that Silva has not been impressive in his two UFC bouts.  His explosive striking has ended both fights, legally or not, in under a minute.  Oh yeah, he is a black belt in jiu-jitsu and judo as well.

Brenneman is 4-2 in the Octagon with all his wins by decision.  He had a great win against Rick Story back in June 2011 but that momentum quickly disappeared after an Anthony Johnson head kick.  The key to this fight is whether or not “the Spaniard” can get this fight to the ground.  Silva has all the credentials but no one knows how great they really are because his fights have been over so quickly.

Silva KO Round One

Ian "Uncle Creepy" McCall vs. Demetrious "Mighty Mouse" Johnson

This is a fight I have been looking forward to ever since the Australia commission botched the result of their initial bout. Have no fear, I have a source inside the company that says Judge Cecil Peoples is bringing along one of these to insure correct addition.Not only do I love both of their nicknames, the two of them each have entertaining styles of fighting.  McCall shocked everyone in the first fight when he outwrestled Johnson.  “Uncle Creepy” also was able to land the harder strikes, nearly finishing Johnson in the third round.

While “Mighty Mouse” may have been outwrestled there was no doubt he was the quicker of the two fighters.  He has also stated on many occasions how his new diet should allow him to have more energy and now wear down in the later stages of the fight.

This is a hard fight to predict because neither guy has fought anyone else since their last bout.  I think McCall has the mental edge in this one because he almost finished Johnson.  This should be a back and forth war but I don’t see a stoppage happening either.

McCall Unanimous Decision (29-28)

Hopefully the fight can match the brightness
of their shorts at weight ins.
Credit: MMAJunkie

If you liked this article please leave a comment below and vote on the poll to the right a

Also, I started a weekly podcast called Split Decision on http://www.sportsgeeksusa.com/ with my friend Ryan Penney who has his awful unique picks below. Feel free to leave your predictions on our facebook page. The show airs 3 PM daily Monday-Friday. 

Please follow myself and the show on Twitter.  We recap all the fights and news in the MMA world while also interviewing fighters, promoters and trainers

Brace Yourself...

Last weeks predictions proved a few things: I suck at predictions, I suck at grammar, and I make my co-host, Marty Downes look really intelligent.

So, I have a new plan this week. I am going to pick against who I think will win.  That is right; I am trying a brand new strategy. I still promise shitty Grammar, cant change too much.

This free card will have 4 fights and will start off in the Bantamweight division with Eddie Wineland and Scott “Young guns” Jorgensen. Wineland is 0-2 since coming over to the UFC, but I think a lot of people would be having had to fight Faber and Benavidez. Scott Jorgensen is coming off a loss against Renan Barao, who will be fighting Faber for the interim belt in a month. This fight is a great chance for Young Guns to make a move to make a run at the title. I would pick Scotty, but since I am doing this new style of picking, I will take the latter.

Pick: Eddie Wineland (Split Decision)

In the second main event fight, we go to what you could consider “fatties” compared to 2 of the 3 other fights on this card with Mike “Quicksand” Pyle and “The Dentist” Josh Neer. Pyle is entering his 9^th fight in the octagon, and has a very solid 5-3 record. The Dentist is 2-0 so far in the UFC and is moving his way through the division. I have a hard time picking against the Dentist (mainly because I am scared of dentists) but.. I am trying a new style… so….

Pick: Mike “Quicksand” Pyle (Unanimous Decision 29-28)

We stay in the Welterweight division for Erick “ Indio ” Silva and Charlie “The Spaniard” Brenneman. Indian vs a Spaniard… I feel like there is some war I could reference, but I fell asleep in my 9^th grade Social Studies class a lot. Sorry Ms. Fackler (don’t let the name confuse you… SHE WAS A BABE) Silva “lost” his last fight because of shots to the back of Prater’s head… While he still received his fight bonus, his record moved to 1-1 in the octagon. Brenneman has struggled since stopping the “Horror” Story. While he is 1-1 since that huge win, he hasn’t impressed…. But since I think Silva wins I have to go to my new strategy…. This is really testing my new strategy.

Pick: Brenneman (TKO-Punches/Knees RD1)

NOW THE MAIIIINNNNN EEEVVVEENNNNTTT OF THE EVENING (in my best Buffer typing)… I feel like we have seen this fight before….. Déjà vu maybe? Or just Judges who cant add good… HEY, I can do that (make mental note to apply to be a UFC judge).

Ian McCall and Demetrious Johnson… Uncle Creepy and Mighty Mouse…I am changing my strategy for this fight. McCall had that thing won if it went to an extra round….

Pick: McCall (Decision-FOTN)

That is it for me… Most likely will fail yet again, I am used to it by now.

Enjoy the fights!